Private
armies are carrying out most American wars and this is going to grow further in
the future.
Upon
departing as commander of US Forces Afghanistan, Gen. John Nicholson recently
said that America's military strategy, revised a year ago under the Trump
administration, is working.
At the
same time, Erik Prince, founder of Blackwater [currently known as Academi],
apparently doesn't share the view of the US Forces Afghanistan commander who
expressed that the military strategy in Afghanistan is working.
And of
course, as shrewd businessman he is offering to Donald Trump to renew his offer
to replace US military forces with Private Military Contractors, or PMCs.
Despite the differences, and any similarities, the military
solutions for peace in Afghanistan offered by Nicholson and Prince are both
delusional.
In saying
that the latest US military strategy is working, Nicholson believes the
current military solution is having the effect of "advancing us towards reconciliation" with the Afghan Taliban.
"I believe the South Asia Strategy is the
right approach," Nicholson said during a brief teleconference with
reporters at the Pentagon before the link was disrupted.
"And now we see
that approach delivering progress on reconciliation that we had not seen
previously. And I think that was because we clearly communicated to the enemy
they could not wait us out."
While Nicholson believes that the military strategy of
using troops to train and assist the Afghan military is going to work, he
failed to point out that the US at one point had some 100,000 combat troops
there and still couldn't defeat the Taliban. Today, there are no more than
10,000 soldiers who are not in a combat role but are there to train the Afghan
military.
Nicholson's assessment comes despite the fact that the
Taliban today has control over more than 50 percent of the country and has
little trouble launching attacks on government buildings in the Afghan capital
Kabul.
When the US attacked Afghanistan in October 2001 because
the Taliban, in control of the country at the time, refused to turn over Osama
bin Laden who launched a terrorist attack on the US the previous month, the
Taliban were virtually eliminated from the country.
Only after the US diverted its attention to attacking Iraq
in March 2003, the Taliban began to return to the country from neighboring
Pakistan which not only harbored the insurgent group but actually created it
under the auspices of its own military and intelligence, the Inter-Services
Intelligence agency.
Even
though the US war in Afghanistan is in its 17th year, Trump is sticking with
his strategy that he implemented a year ago although privately he is expressing
increasing frustration with the results.
Prince,
whose sister is Education Secretary Betsy DeVos, believes it's time to review his
offer of PMCs and privatize the war in Afghanistan.
"I know he's
frustrated," Prince said referring to the Trump's outlook on the
progress of defeating the Taliban militarily in Afghanistan. "He gave the Pentagon what they wanted…And
they haven't delivered."
Prince said that Trump's advisers who oppose his plan are
portraying "as rosy a picture as they can" of the fighting on the
ground and that "peace is around the
corner" in efforts to enter discussions with the Taliban. They "over-emphasize the fluff and flare of these
so-called peace talks."
Erik Prince
admits he hasn't spoken yet to the president to renew the request. While
Defense Secretary James Mattis and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo oppose
Prince's plan, the current military strategy may not show results until at
least next summer, if then, something which may prompt Trump to consider
Prince's offer.
However, National Security Advisor John Bolton has been strangely silent on Prince's proposal.
In coming days, Prince said he intended to launch a media campaign to convince
the president to favorably consider his plan of action.
Prince's notion that his PMCs will get the job done where
the military couldn't is equally unrealistic. Prince's Blackwater PMCs have been operating out
of the United Arab Emirates since 2011. His mercenaries hail from such
countries as Australia, Chile, Columbia, El Salvador, Panama and South Africa.
They originally were hired to provide training and defense
inside the UAE since its own forces are incapable of doing so. In 2012, the
mercenaries, nicknamed mercs, were deployed to fight pirates off the coast of
Somalia. Then in 2015, repeat began
to surface that Prince's mercs were launching attacks inside Yemen.
It was part of an effort by Saudi Arabia and the UAE to
undertake a more aggressive military strategy in the region. This more aggressive
effort is part of an initiative by Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed bin Sultan
Al-Nahyan, nicknamed MbZ, who is the Crown Prince of Abu Dhabi and deputy
supreme commander of the UAE's armed forces. He united with the Saudis,
particularly its current crown prince and defense minister, Mohammed bins
Salman Al Saud, to undertake this military strategy.
While it was thought at the time that Prince no longer was
dealing with the emirates, more recent reports suggest otherwise. In 2016, Yemeni Army spokesman Brig.
Gen. Sharaf Ghalib Luqman pointed out that the Saudi-led coalition was
hiring contractors, among them were 400 from the US private security firm
Blackwater.
"Erik Prince is back," said David
Isenberg, a researcher and writer on US military and international security
issues, in a 2017 article.
"He's not only
pitching colonial capitalism in DC, but huckstering ex-SF led armies of sepoys
to wrest Afghanistan, Yemen, Libya and perhaps, if he is ever able to influence
likeminded hawks in the Trump administration, even Iran back from the infidels,"
he said.
In Yemen, the war effort continues with logistical and
intelligence support from the US. Yet, it hasn't been going so well and has
created a major humanitarian disaster for all the civilians the militaries of
the Saudis and UAE have killed.
For the
PMCs, the effort similarly has been a disaster, since their forces have been
dealt numerous serious defeats in Yemen.
It raises the question of what the PMCs can do in
Afghanistan if they are getting their butts kicked now in Yemen?
Unstated is the fact that despite the US military presence
in Afghanistan, there also are PMCs working with them. One intelligence
official told me that the ratio of PMCs to US soldiers in Afghanistan is better
than five to one.
If that is the case, and PMCs already are fighting at some
five times the strength of the US forces already in Afghanistan, what
convincing information can Prince convey to Trump to get him to substitute his
PMCs for the US military?
Trump's frustration suggests that inevitably he will need
to face the fact that any military solution to halt the war in Afghanistan
isn't going to work and that it is long past time to get the countries of the
region together, with the US present, to come up with a lasting political
solution.
Adapted
from F. Michael Maloof, former Pentagon
security analyst.

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