Experienced Earth and Social Scientist, Danilo Anton, denounces several established myths and frauds in science, anthropology and history.
Showing posts with label Sea level rise. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sea level rise. Show all posts
Tuesday, October 4, 2016
Sea level manipulations of data, there is NOT alarming rise
Danilo Anton
Sea level changes have been commonplace along geological history. It is difficult to pinpoint those changes in older sedimentary rocks because the level of emerged lands also varied considerably..
Many times we don't know how high was the depositional sea level if the marine sediments are found on high elevations which were uplifted milliones of years ago. Obviously the level can be assumed through analysis of the geological context and correlations. However in most cases these are only assumptions. Similar arguments can be used in relation to marine sediments buried under hundreds of meters of other sediments
Even when sediments were not uplifted o did not sink locally it is very difficcult to know what was the sea level worldwide.
It is somewhat easier to estimate past sea level in more modern sediments, let's say Quaternary or Pliocene sediments. However, even in those cases, the vertical movements of continental masses may introduce modifying factors.
Having said that, when sea level changes in a scale of a few years are studied, other difficulties arise. First, there are always vertical movements en ALL coastal shores. These movements may be a few millimeters per year or even less. However we don't know them with precision and it is very difficult to measure those millimetric changes, because it is not easy to find a reference.
On the other hand, sea levels may vary in different oceans due to increased evaporation, flow from neighboring rivers or melting from ice caps or glaciers. Therefore it is hard to know exactly (to the millimeters scale) what is the worldwide sea level.
With satellite measurements it has become much easier to get data from all oceans and seas. However, often these data require some elaboration and they may be manipulated to demonstrate whatever theory want to be demonstrated.
Nils-Axel Mörner has been studying the subject for several decades and described these uncertainties and manipulations in an article entitled "There Is No Alarming Sea Level Rise!" (see footnote reference).
Economic, academic and egotistic interests are providing non-trustable data and it has become increasingly difficult to believe some ot the official assumptions and particularly the catastrophic forecasts of coastal flooding in many parts of the world.
https://www.21stcenturysciencetech.com/Articles_2011/Winter-2010/Morner.pdf
Monday, October 3, 2016
GREAT SEA-LEVEL HUMBUG
There Is No Alarming Sea Level
There Is No Alarming Sea Level
Renowned
oceanographic expert Nils-Axel Mörner
has studied sea level and its effects on coastal areas for some 45 years.
Recently retired as director of the Paleogeophysics and Geodynamics Department
at Stockholm University, Mörner is past president (1999- 2003) of the INQUA
Commission on Sea Level Changes and Coastal Evolution, and leader of the
Maldives Sea Level Project. Now he has his own company on
Paleogeophysics & Geodynamics in Sweden, and can be reached at
morner@pog.nu.
In an interview and paper published in
21st Century in 2007,1 I have shown that
global sea level is not in an alarming rising
mode, which is the main threat
in the International Panel on Climate
Change scenario. If sea level
is not rising at a high rate, there is
no serious threat and no real problem.
In subsequent papers, I continued
to present new data on sea
level stability. In Mörner 2007b,
our field observational database
from the Maldive Islands was described
in detail. A new study in
Bangladesh was published in 2010
(Mörner 2010a).
One of the approximately 1,190 beautiful
coral islands that comprise the nation of
the Maldives.
As Mörner shows, the Maldives
are not in danger of inundation.
short sea level booklet titled “The Greatest Lie
EverTold” (Mörner 2007c) was updated in new
editions in 2009 and 2010.
Here I will investigate the proposed rates of
sea level changes by IPCC and others.
Figure 1 illustrates the differences between the IPCC models
and the observational facts. After 1965, the two curves start to
diverge significantly (the area marked with a question mark).
This paper will highlight the differences and seek the solution of
what data to trust and what to discard.
(To be continued)
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