Wednesday, November 16, 2016

Absurd Avaaz Campaign to fight climate change

Danilo Anton

There is a new Avaaz Campaign asking signatures to fight Against Climate Change
What are they talking about? How can somebody campaign against climate change? It's completely absurd.
Climate change is what has occurred in the atmosphere for 4.5 billion years. Climate changes constantly. Geology is dedicated (among other things) to study climate change. Personally, it's what I've been doing for 50 years.
How can they fight against climate change? It is as absurd as to start a campaign to avoid the evolution of species or to repeal the law of gravity.
Now, if what they are talking about is "global warming", it is something else. In this issue there may be controversy. And indeed there is. Many think, including institutional and academic officialism, that there is global warming and that it is promoted by "man" (they like to say "man" to refer to our species).
Others, including myself, think that it global warming is NOT proven. Indeed, there are environmental effects of human action, they are many and of course it will be necessary to be avoided and fight against them (water pollution, air pollution and many others).
BUT GLOBAL WARMING HAS NOT BEEN PROVED
I do not like fighting an enemy that we do not know if it exists.
(Remember: climate change does exist and always existed, but we do not know what type and at what speed is occurring).
Unfortunately.Donald Trump is (as he said) an enemy of the measures taken to combat climate change.
Obviously he does not care if there is climate change or global warming or whatever, what matters is that it should not prevent a series of corporate billion projects that for various environmental reasons are locked.
But for me personally, I do not care what Donald Trump thinks or does, until we prove otherwise we will have to continue investigating a few things that arouse many uncertainties:
1) What role do variations of solar radiation play in climate change (warming, cooling, rain, storms, etc.)?
2) What role does CO2 play, and in particular anthropogenic CO2 emissions, in atmospheric dynamics?
3) What role does water vapor play in thermal balance and atmospheric dynamics?
3) What role do aerosols play in thermal balances and in atmospheric dynamics?
4) What is the long-term trend of ocean levels?
5) What is the long-term trend of ocean temperature (and concomitantly, tropospheric and stratospheric temperatures)?
These questions have not been settled. At the official level it is insisted on holding that everything is resolved and that there is scientific unanimity. But it's not like that. Neither everything is resolved nor is there scientific unanimity.
Therefore it is not appropriate to start any campaign.
Finally, I'm not interested in what Donald Trump thinks about it.

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