Sunday, November 17, 2019


What the heck is happening?
An Avaaz campaign appears requesting signatures to continue the fight against climate change

What is that? How can a campaign against climate change be carried out? It is completely absurd.
Climate change is what has been happening in the atmosphere for 4.5 billion years. The weather, and concomitantly the climate, change incessantly. Geology is dedicated (among other things) to studying climate change. Personally it is what I have been doing now for 50 years.
How do you fight climate change? It is as absurd as starting a campaign to avoid the evolution of species or repeal the law of gravity.
Now, if what they are talking about is "global warming", it is something else. In this there may be controversy. And indeed there is. Many think, including institutional and academic officialism, that there is global warming and that it is promoted by "man" (they like to say "man" to refer to our species).
Others, including me, think that it is NOT sufficiently proven that there is global warming. Indeed, there are environmental effects of human action, Many and it will be necessary to avoid and fight against them (water pollution, air pollution and many others).
BUT THE GLOBAL WARMING IS NOT TESTED.
I don't like fighting an enemy that is NOT known if it exists.
(Remember: climate change does exist and always existed, but we do not know what type and at what speed it is happening)
Unfortunately, Donald Trump is (he said) an enemy of the measures taken to combat climate change.
Obviously he does not care if there is climate change or global warming or whatever, what matters is that a series of billionaire corporate projects that for various environmental reasons are not blocked.
But personally, I don't care what Donald Trump thinks or does, until proven otherwise we will have to continue investigating a few things that arouse many uncertainties:
1) What role do solar radiation variations play in climate changes (heating, cooling, rains, storms, etc.)?
2) What role does CO2 play, and in particular anthropogenic CO2 emissions in atmospheric dynamics?
3) What role does water vapor play in thermal balance and atmospheric dynamics?
3) What role do aerosols play in thermal balances and atmospheric dynamics?
4) What is the long-term trend of ocean levels?
5) What is the long-term trend of ocean temperature (and concomitantly, tropospheric and stratospheric temperatures)?
These questions have not been settled. At the official level, it is insisted on maintaining that everything is resolved and that there is scientific unanimity. But it's not like that. Neither is everything resolved nor is there scientific unanimity.
Therefore it is not appropriate to start any campaign.
Finally, I don't care what Donald Trump and his billionaire friends think about it.
Danilo Anton

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