The Nile
River, Arabic Baḥr Al-Nīl or Nahr Al-Nīl, is one of the longest
rivers in the world together with the Amazon and the Mississippi-Missouri. It
rises south of the Equator and flows northward through northeastern Africa to
drain into the Mediterranean Sea. It has a length of about 6,650 kilometres and drains an
area estimated at 3,349,000 square kilometres. Its basin includes parts of Tanzania,
Burundi, Rwanda, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Kenya, Uganda, South
Sudan, Ethiopia, Sudan and Egypt. Its most distant source is the Kagera River in Burundi.
Danger of
war?
Egypt
relies on the Nile for 90% of its water. and 85% of the river flow comes from the Blue Niles, which would be affected by Ethiopian use or consumption of its water.
It has historically asserted that having a stable flow of the Nile waters is a matter of survival in a country where water is scarce.
It has historically asserted that having a stable flow of the Nile waters is a matter of survival in a country where water is scarce.
A 1929 treaty (and a subsequent one in 1959) gave Egypt and
Sudan rights to nearly all of the Nile waters. The colonial-era document also
gave Egypt veto powers over any projects by upstream countries that would
affect its share of the waters.
Neither agreement made any allowance for the water needs of
the other riparian states that were not parties to the deal, including
Ethiopia, whose Blue Nile contributes much of the river waters.
Ethiopia has said it should not be bound by the decades-old
treaty and went ahead and started building its dam at the start of the Arab
Spring in March 2011 without consulting Egypt.
It is important to notice that the Nile flows through the Egyptian city of Aswan around 920km south of the capital Cairo
It is important to notice that the Nile flows through the Egyptian city of Aswan around 920km south of the capital Cairo
Egyptian President Abdul Fattah al-Sisi was quoted as saying
in September last year that it would never have got under way had Egypt not
been distracted by the political turmoil.
One of the North African country's main concerns is that if
the water flow drops it could affect Lake Nasser, the reservoir further
downriver, behind Egypt's Aswan Dam, even though it only accounts for a small
share of Egypt's electricity.
Ethiopia says one of the previous preconditions that Egypt
had put for the agreement was that the dam should be connected to the Aswan
dam.
Mr Seleshi told the BBC that he had explained to the
Egyptians that it was "difficult to connect the two dams".
"After that they had backed down a bit on the issue but
they have brought the idea back today to some extent," he said.
Egypt also fears that the dam could restrict its already
scarce supply of the Nile waters, which is almost the only water source for its
citizens.
It could also affect transport on the Nile in Egypt if the
water level is too low and affect the livelihood of farmers who depend on the
water for irrigation.
Why does Ethiopia want such a big dam?
The $4bn (£3bn) dam is at the heart of Ethiopia's
manufacturing and industrial dreams. When completed it is expected to be able
to generate a massive 6,000 megawatts of electricity.
Ethiopia has an acute shortage of electricity, with 65% of
its population not connected to the grid.
The energy generated will be enough to have its citizens
connected and sell the surplus power to neighbouring countries.
Ethiopia also sees the dam as a matter of national
sovereignty.
The dam project does not rely on external funding and relies
on government bonds and private funds to pay for the project.
The country has been critical of what it considers foreign
interference in the matter.
Does anyone else benefit?
Yes. Neighbouring countries including Sudan, South Sudan,
Kenya, Djibouti and Eritrea are likely to benefit from the power generated by
the dam.
es the dam will be finished in
For Sudan there is the added advantage that the flow of the
river would be regulated by the dam - meaning it would be the same all-year
round.
Usually the country suffers from serious flooding in August
and September.
Could the dispute lead to a war?
There have been fears that the countries could be drawn into
a conflict should the dispute not be resolved.
In 2013, there were reports of a secret recording showing
Egyptian politicians proposing a range of hostile acts against Ethiopia over
the building of the dam.
President Sisi has also been quoted as saying that Egypt
would take all the necessary measures to protect their rights to the Nile
waters.
In October last year, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed told MPs that "no
force" could stop Ethiopia from building the dam.
The International Crisis Group warned
last year that the countries "could be drawn into conflict"
over the dam.
The fact that the US intervened shows the seriousness of the
situation - and the need to break the deadlock.
Egypt sought the intervention of the US on the impasse,
after President Sisi requested that President Trump mediate the conflict, which
Ethiopia was initially reluctant to accept.
A conflict between the two states, which are both US allies,
could draw global interest as it would put millions of civilians at risk.
It would threaten the vital international trade route
through the Suez Canal and along the Horn of Africa, according to analysis by
the Washington Institute.
So what happens now?
The next step will be for the water ministers, along with
their countries' foreign ministers, to try and come to a deal before the
deadline set last year of 15 January.
The timeline was set in November after a meeting between the
parties and US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnunchin and World Bank President
David Malpass.
So the parties representing the countries at the heart of
the dispute are expected to convene again in Washington later.
"The first [option] is mediation, to see it with a
mediator. Second is an issue of facilitation.
"These issues need an agreement of the three countries.
Article 10 doesn't say it will be based on the desire from one country,"
Ethiopia's water minister told the BBC.
rump hopes the US can broker a deal between the two US allies
If they still can't agree by 15 January, the negotiators
will request another mediator, or refer the matter to the heads of states, as
agreed in November last year.
"What will be most appropriate for us is to present the
report to our leader since there might be [progress] if they [the leaders]
solve it," Mr Seleshi said.
On Sunday, Ethiopia's Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed asked South
African President Cyril Ramaphosa to also help mediate in the dispute.
Mr Abiy said that, as incoming chair of the African Union,
Mr Ramaphosa could help solve the problem peacefully.


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